I just looked up NYC covid cases on www1.nyc.gov. It says there have been 56289 confirmed cases with 1867 deaths. It does not specify if the deaths were with or by to COVID.
I then looked up NYC population at macrotrends.net. For 2020 it puts the number at 18,804,000. So applying some basic arithmetic, 52289/18,804,000 I arrive at .00278. That’s .278% of the population that’s been infected. Now of the reported infections we can calculate the fatality rate, assuming all fatalities are by COVID. That is1867/56289 = .0332, or a 3.3% fatality rate.
However, if only the sick/symptomatic are tested then we must assume that many more are infected and asymptomatic. Lets say the infection rate is an order of magnitude greater. Then we have 2.78% infected and a fatality rate of .33%.
I keep seeing headlines of gloom and doom about NYC covid, but the numbers just don’t add up. What am I missing? This is looking more and more like bullshit to me. We are all sitting home like good sheep while our economy tanks and the worst case numbers in the country are trivial. It’s late. I’m tired. What have I missed?
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