Saturday, April 4, 2020

Bringing things close to home

According to https://www.cincinnati-oh.gov/health/covid-19 the City of Cincinnati now has 79 confirmed cases of the Coronavirus. 
From macrotrends.net the current population of Cincinnati in 2020 is 1,746,000. So for our “pandemic” we have a “known” infection rate of 79/1746000, which turns out to be a whopping .0000452 or .00452% of the general population. 
Let’s be generous though and say that the infection rate is 2 orders of magnitude greater that the number of “confirmed” cases. That would make it 7900 actual infections and an overall infection rate of .452%. Interestingly enough, the health department site does not list any deaths yet attributed to covid-19.
So, we have shutdown the city, put everyone in lockdown and furloughed the workforce because of the threat that is affecting maybe around .5% of the population. And has not killed anyone.
I appreciate the opportunity to lounge around as much as the next guy, but the cynical side of me says we are being played. I am open to being corrected on my arithmetic and my conclusions.

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